USM Libreville vs FC 105 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Libreville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
USM
0 - 0
CER
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
USM
2 - 0
RSC
53%
23%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SOG
1 - 1
USM
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
USM
3 - 1
OYE
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
SMA
2 - 1
USM
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC 105
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
MIS
3 - 1
105
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
105
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
CER
1 - 0
105
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
105
0 - 0
SAP
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2010 |
PEL
0 - 0
105
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |