USM Khenchela vs Oued Smar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Khenchela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
USK
1 - 3
USM
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
JSM
1 - 1
USK
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2009 |
IRO
3 - 5
USK
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2009 |
USK
1 - 3
ARZ
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Oued Smar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
OSM
1 - 1
DTA
6%
14%
81%
|
13 | 63 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
BEJ
1 - 1
OSM
83%
13%
4%
|
12 | 58 | 46 | +1 |