USM Bel Abbès vs USM Sétif analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Bel Abbès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
0 - 0
USM
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
USM
0 - 0
MCS
29%
28%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
ESM
1 - 1
USM
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
USM
3 - 1
CON
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
USM
1 - 1
USM
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USM Sétif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SET
0 - 0
TEM
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
KOU
3 - 2
SET
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SET
0 - 0
USB
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
ABM
1 - 0
SET
60%
22%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
SET
1 - 2
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |