Confederation Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
USM Alger vs Rivers United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
USM
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
USM
1 - 0
USB
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
USM
2 - 0
SET
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 1
USM
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
USM
8 - 0
MBR
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 12 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Rivers United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
USM
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
HEA
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
LOB
3 - 2
RIV
47%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
KAN
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 1
DRE
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |