USM Alger vs Port de Dakar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
USM
4 - 1
BBA
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
USM
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
USM
2 - 1
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
USM
1 - 0
ALG
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
USM
1 - 0
RAI
83%
11%
5%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Port de Dakar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
POR
2 - 1
USM
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
POR
3 - 2
ASD
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ASD
0 - 0
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |