USM Alger vs JS Saoura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
8º
7º
43
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
79.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
45.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
JSK
0 - 0
USM
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 0
USM
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 1
USM
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
USM
0 - 0
BEL
45%
27%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USM
1 - 0
EBA
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
JS Saoura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
NCM
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
EBA
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
USB
2 - 1
SAO
28%
30%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 2
SET
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
OAK
2 - 1
SAO
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |