Confederation Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
USM Alger vs FAR Rabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
USM
2 - 0
USK
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SET
1 - 0
USM
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
USM
4 - 1
ALA
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 1
USM
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
USM
3 - 0
CHE
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FAR Rabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 1
MOG
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
ITT
3 - 1
FAR
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
HAS
2 - 1
FAR
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 0
SCC
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 1
FAR
6%
18%
77%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | -1 |