USM Alger vs CS Constantine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
11º
11º
50
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 0
USM
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 1
USM
25%
29%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
USM
2 - 2
BEL
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
USM
1 - 1
SET
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
NCM
1 - 1
USM
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CS Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
IRB
1 - 4
CON
5%
15%
80%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
EBA
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CON
3 - 0
CHL
63%
23%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 1
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
CON
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |