USM Alger vs Ben Aknoun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
13º
4º
26
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 55 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 53 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 49 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 46 |
5º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 43 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 40 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 38 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 36 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 36 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
88% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
13% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 88% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
CHL
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
ORA
1 - 0
USM
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 0
USM
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
EBA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
USM
2 - 2
JSK
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ben Aknoun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
ORA
1 - 0
ETO
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
USB
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
ETO
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 3
JSK
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
ETO
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |