Campeonato de Clubes Árabes Quarter-finals
Global 9-3
USM Alger vs Al Buqa'a analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
JSK
1 - 0
USM
38%
30%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
USM
1 - 0
SET
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 6
USM
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
BBA
1 - 1
USM
24%
30%
46%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
USM
2 - 0
CAB
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Al Buqa'a
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALB
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 0
ALF
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 6
USM
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 0
ALB
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 2
ALF
30%
26%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |