USM Alger U21 vs ES Sétif U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
6º
4º
51
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
88.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
86% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
71% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 30 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 3
ALG
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 1
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
HBC
1 - 2
ALG
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
4 - 1
KAB
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
USM
1 - 1
ALG
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ES Sétif U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SET
0 - 2
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CHL
0 - 1
SET
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
SET
3 - 2
BEL
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 1
SET
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SET
5 - 1
RCA
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |