USFAS Bamako vs Real Bamako analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USFAS Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ASB
1 - 0
USF
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
USF
1 - 0
OLY
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
DUG
2 - 0
USF
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
USF
0 - 1
MAM
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ONZ
0 - 0
USF
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ASR
0 - 1
DUG
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
MAM
0 - 1
ASR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
ASR
1 - 0
ASB
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OLY
0 - 2
ASR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BAK
1 - 1
ASR
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |