US Vibonese Calcio vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
60.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
USV
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
USV
0 - 1
LAQ
24%
26%
50%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FON
2 - 1
USV
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
USV
0 - 1
NEA
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RAA
0 - 0
USV
61%
23%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRG
36%
29%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACI
2 - 2
PAG
14%
26%
60%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 0
MIL
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAG
15%
25%
61%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 1
ARZ
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |