US Vibonese Calcio vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
USV
20%
27%
54%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
USV
2 - 1
ASD
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CCI
1 - 2
USV
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
USV
1 - 1
ACI
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
POR
0 - 3
USV
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
MES
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MES
2 - 1
ROC
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 0
MES
27%
27%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MES
5 - 0
GEL
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 0
MES
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |