US Vibonese Calcio vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FON
2 - 1
USV
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
USV
0 - 1
NEA
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RAA
0 - 0
USV
61%
23%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
USV
3 - 2
ACI
41%
28%
31%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
USV
64%
22%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAQ
3 - 0
EBO
49%
25%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
LAQ
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAQ
2 - 1
FAN
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
APR
1 - 2
LAQ
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 1
PRG
31%
28%
40%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |