US Vibonese Calcio vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CMU
2 - 0
USV
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
USV
2 - 4
NGI
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NUO
1 - 0
USV
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
USV
0 - 0
CIT
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
USV
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CIT
2 - 2
AGR
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 0
CIT
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
GEL
2 - 0
CIT
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
USV
0 - 0
CIT
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CIT
0 - 1
ACP
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |