US Vibonese Calcio vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
USV
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
USV
3 - 2
AGR
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 0
USV
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
USV
5 - 0
ACI
75%
18%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NIS
0 - 2
USV
13%
24%
63%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CIT
0 - 1
ACP
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
CIT
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIT
3 - 1
COM
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CIT
3 - 1
FCS
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 2
CIT
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |