Triestina vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
TRI
1 - 0
FCC
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
REG
1 - 1
TRI
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
TRI
0 - 0
ACM
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
USF
2 - 1
TRI
49%
24%
26%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
COM
3 - 0
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 2
USA
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 1
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
REG
4 - 0
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 1
SSS
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
MES
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |