Triestina vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 1
TRI
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
NOV
3 - 0
TRI
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 3
ACM
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
PAL
4 - 0
TRI
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 0
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
SAM
1 - 3
NOV
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
JUV
5 - 1
SAM
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAM
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 4
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |