Triestina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 0
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
TRI
0 - 0
GEN
36%
27%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CRO
4 - 2
TRI
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
TRI
2 - 1
ABN
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
VER
0 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
MOD
1 - 1
EMP
39%
28%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SAL
2 - 2
MOD
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
MOD
2 - 0
VER
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ARZ
1 - 2
MOD
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MOD
2 - 0
FCC
68%
22%
10%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |