Triestina vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
TRI
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 0
IMO
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ARZ
2 - 2
TRI
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 1
VIR
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
VIS
0 - 1
TRI
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
FAN
51%
27%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CES
1 - 1
FER
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 1
CAR
16%
26%
58%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
IMO
0 - 1
FER
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
ASG
32%
27%
40%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |