Triestina vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ASG
2 - 2
TRI
22%
26%
53%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IMO
2 - 1
TRI
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TRI
4 - 0
SSS
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VIC
0 - 2
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TRI
1 - 2
POR
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
TER
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ABN
1 - 1
FER
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
VIS
43%
29%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 0
FER
37%
30%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
RIM
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |