Triestina vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
GEN
3 - 2
TRI
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
TRI
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 3
LEC
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TRI
0 - 0
VIC
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 2
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 2
ARZ
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
PES
2 - 3
CRO
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
RIM
1 - 0
CRO
60%
23%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 2
SPE
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
PIA
2 - 1
CRO
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |