Triestina vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
PIA
0 - 0
TRI
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
TRI
2 - 1
REG
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 0
TRI
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CTT
2 - 0
TRI
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
ANC
2 - 3
CTT
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 0
ANC
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 1
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 0
ANC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 2
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |