Serie B Playoffs Title Play-off Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Sassuolo vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
SAS
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 3
SAS
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAS
4 - 1
REG
50%
26%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
SAS
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAS
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
SAS
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 1
SAM
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 3
PES
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 2
SAM
28%
29%
43%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAM
3 - 1
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |