Sassuolo vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
SAS
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
SAS
1 - 0
EMP
61%
24%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ABN
2 - 3
SAS
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAS
0 - 0
SAM
38%
29%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PES
3 - 2
SAS
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASC
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 2
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOC
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 2
MOD
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAD
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |