Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 4-1
Sassuolo vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 1
SAS
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
SAS
8 - 0
CAS
93%
6%
1%
|
83 | 29 | 54 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
SAS
1 - 0
HHA
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
SAS
3 - 1
SVS
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
SAS
14 - 0
NEU
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 27 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
4 - 3
GCZ
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 1
SAS
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
25%
23%
52%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
1 - 2
SCH
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
4 - 2
S04
32%
25%
44%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |