Sassuolo vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
SAS
2 - 0
VER
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SAS
2 - 0
USA
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SAS
2 - 2
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BRE
4 - 2
SAS
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SAS
2 - 3
LIV
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ASC
3 - 1
CRO
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
USF
1 - 0
CRO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
PRG
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ARZ
4 - 0
CRO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 2
GAL
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |