Sassuolo vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability

2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.3%
Win probability

0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-2%
+2%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
14º
1º
63
2º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
97% | |
![]() |
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
97% | |
![]() |
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
34% | |
![]() |
5º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
34% | |
![]() |
7º
|
51 | 54 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
![]() |
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
50% | |
![]() |
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
![]() |
10º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
![]() |
11º
|
47 | 48 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
![]() |
13º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
![]() |
12º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
47% | |
![]() |
14º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
![]() |
17º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
![]() |
15º
|
40 | 41 |
16º
|
12% | |
![]() |
18º
|
39 | 40 |
17º
|
2.5% | |
![]() |
16º
|
40 | 40 |
18º
|
23.5% | |
![]() |
19º
|
39 | 40 |
19º
|
23% | |
![]() |
20º
|
30 | 34 |
20º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sassuolo

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 Sep. 2024 |
LEC
![]() 0 - 2
![]() SAS
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
21 Sep. 2024 |
NUO
![]() 0 - 1
![]() SAS
24%
24%
53%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
15 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
![]() 0 - 2
![]() SAS
15%
22%
63%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
31 Aug. 2024 |
SAS
![]() 1 - 4
![]() USC
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
27 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
![]() 1 - 1
![]() SAS
26%
23%
50%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 Sep. 2024 |
SPE
![]() 4 - 2
![]() CAR
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
14 Sep. 2024 |
USC
![]() 1 - 1
![]() SPE
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
01 Sep. 2024 |
SPE
![]() 2 - 1
![]() CES
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
28 Aug. 2024 |
NUO
![]() 0 - 0
![]() SPE
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
24 Aug. 2024 |
SPE
![]() 2 - 1
![]() FRO
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |