Aigues Mortes vs Sud FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+2560%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
14º
12º
26
10º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 33 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LUC
3 - 2
SAM
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 0
MON
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 3
SAM
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AGD
1 - 0
SAM
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 0
ESF
39%
23%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Sud FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
SFC
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 3
MAR
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SCR
1 - 1
SFC
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 2
VIL
27%
22%
52%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
SFC
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |