Aigues Mortes vs Alberes Argelès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
13º
10º
33
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
TOU
1 - 1
SAM
72%
16%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 5
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
USJ
0 - 6
SAM
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
FBP
68%
18%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 0
SAM
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 3
CAS
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ROD
3 - 2
FCA
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
FCA
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
TOU
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
FCA
16%
20%
63%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |