Aigues Mortes vs Stade Beaucairois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
13º
10º
50
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ONE
1 - 0
SAM
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 3
AGD
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 3
PAU
8%
14%
79%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BEZ
0 - 0
SAM
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Beaucairois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
BEA
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BEA
2 - 1
CAS
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ROD
2 - 4
BEA
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
2 - 0
FCA
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 1
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |