Pro Vercelli vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 1
LEO
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
ASC
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
6 - 2
LEO
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LEO
5 - 2
PES
22%
26%
53%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 1
LEO
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
CAG
19%
27%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
COM
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 0
LIV
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |