Poggibonsi vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 1
USP
38%
29%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
USP
0 - 0
FCV
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ACS
0 - 3
USP
34%
28%
38%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
USP
0 - 0
ASG
26%
27%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
USP
4 - 0
GHI
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 0
SCA
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GHI
0 - 0
SSD
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 1
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MAS
0 - 1
SSD
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SSD
2 - 2
PIA
35%
28%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |