Poggibonsi vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
USP
79%
15%
6%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
USP
2 - 1
ACP
30%
27%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ACG
2 - 0
USP
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
USP
1 - 0
FCC
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
GAV
0 - 0
USP
67%
20%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
LAQ
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 2
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ACS
0 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
GIU
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FAN
2 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |