Poggibonsi vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
USP
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
TER
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VIG
0 - 1
USP
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 2
USP
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
CAM
64%
22%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PON
1 - 1
TER
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FON
0 - 1
PON
12%
20%
68%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
CAM
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PON
4 - 1
FOL
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 3
PON
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |