Poggibonsi vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ACS
0 - 3
USP
34%
28%
38%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
USP
0 - 0
ASG
26%
27%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
USP
4 - 0
GHI
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 0
USP
15%
25%
60%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
USP
1 - 0
MAS
54%
24%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 1
MAS
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 1
FCV
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FCV
1 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
FCV
20%
25%
56%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 1
VMO
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |