US Mondorf vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
14º
6º
77
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Mondorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
USM
4 - 1
MON
58%
22%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DIF
2 - 1
USM
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
USM
5 - 0
FOL
30%
23%
47%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ETZ
0 - 3
USM
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
USM
2 - 0
TPE
29%
26%
46%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
SWI
4 - 0
DIF
61%
20%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 1
SWI
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 2
ETZ
85%
10%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 1
SWI
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 0
UNA
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |