US Hostert vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
64.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12º
16º
16º
77
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
USM
2 - 0
USH
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
MAM
2 - 2
USH
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 3
USH
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
USH
1 - 3
SWI
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
UNA
4 - 0
USH
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SWI
4 - 2
PRO
55%
23%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SED
1 - 1
SWI
14%
19%
66%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
JEU
1 - 3
SWI
27%
24%
50%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
SWI
5 - 1
KAE
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
EBT
0 - 1
SWI
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |