US Hostert vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
LXC
1 - 0
USH
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
USH
3 - 2
ERP
65%
20%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
FOL
4 - 3
USH
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
USH
2 - 3
JEU
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
UME
2 - 1
USH
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MER
0 - 1
STE
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
OBE
4 - 1
MER
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MER
0 - 1
AVE
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
KOE
1 - 2
MER
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
MER
5 - 2
CBG
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |