US Hostert vs Grevenmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
USH
0 - 3
UKT
45%
23%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
JEU
2 - 4
USH
32%
24%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FOL
3 - 1
USH
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
USH
2 - 2
RAC
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
KAE
3 - 0
USH
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
PRO
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 4
GRE
23%
21%
56%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 1
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
KAE
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
CSP
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |