Calcio Foggia vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 1
USF
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 3
USF
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
USF
2 - 2
CAT
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JUS
3 - 0
USF
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
USF
1 - 0
MON
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
PAG
3 - 2
BIS
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BIS
2 - 1
PAG
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
PAG
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 0
RPO
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
USF
0 - 1
PAG
73%
18%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |