US Esch vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
YBW
5 - 3
ESC
21%
23%
57%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ESC
0 - 3
BWM
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MAM
4 - 0
ESC
25%
24%
52%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
KAE
1 - 0
ESC
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ESC
4 - 1
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
6 - 2
UME
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
UME
2 - 3
BER
49%
23%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
JEU
1 - 3
UME
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
UME
4 - 4
ALI
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
DCE
1 - 3
UME
19%
20%
62%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |