US Esch vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TBB
0 - 1
ESC
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 1
USS
31%
25%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
STE
0 - 1
ESC
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 2
BER
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CBG
0 - 1
ESC
28%
22%
51%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
UME
0 - 1
FLA
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 1
UME
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
UME
1 - 1
SCH
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CLE
0 - 1
UME
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UME
0 - 2
AVE
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |