US Esch vs Sporting Bertrange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 7
ESC
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 0
CLE
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAM
1 - 0
ESC
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 2
FLA
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
TRI
3 - 5
ESC
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Bertrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
TBB
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
UNA
2 - 2
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 2
USS
28%
24%
49%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
CBG
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SCH
6 - 0
SPO
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |