Cremonese vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
USC
3 - 0
JUS
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
JUS
2 - 1
USC
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
PIS
2 - 1
USC
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 3
USC
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
USC
1 - 1
SAS
32%
24%
43%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 1
FCC
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
FCC
0 - 2
SPE
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
SPE
3 - 1
NUO
65%
20%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 3
USC
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
REG
2 - 1
SPE
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |