Corticella vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
75.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
RIM
4 - 0
COR
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
COR
1 - 3
SER
7%
13%
81%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
COR
1 - 5
FIO
11%
19%
70%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
MAR
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 0
COR
85%
11%
5%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
FOR
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
BAG
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 3
PRO
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
PRO
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ACP
1 - 1
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |