US Breno vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 2
USB
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
USB
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
USP
52%
22%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
FAN
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SON
0 - 2
USB
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CRE
3 - 1
CAL
61%
20%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 2
CRE
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
CRE
2 - 3
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
CRE
3 - 1
NOV
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NIB
0 - 0
CRE
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |