Avellino vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
SPE
28%
29%
44%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PRG
3 - 0
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 2
LEO
44%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
AVE
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 0
TER
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TER
0 - 3
VER
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 1
TER
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |