Avellino vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
UDI
4 - 0
AVE
80%
14%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AVE
3 - 1
JUS
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 0
CRO
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 1
AVE
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 0
VIC
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PON
1 - 0
PIA
65%
20%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PON
2 - 1
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
PES
2 - 2
PON
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
OLB
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |